相对于全球经济复苏乏力,总体而言2012年西亚非洲地区经济增长形势良好,但区域间存在较大差异。由于油价上涨和部分国家持续的社会动荡,西亚北非地区出现了增长速度迥异的两个区域,预计2012年石油出口国和石油进口国的增长速度分别为1.2%和6.6%。撒哈拉以南非洲地区国内需求旺盛,增长相对均衡,预计2012年增长5.3%。由于增长前景良好,2013年西亚非洲地区仍会保持较好的表现,但西亚北非部分国家的社会动荡、全球经济给油价前景带来的不确定性、普遍存在的高失业率和高通货膨胀,都会给西亚非洲地区持续的经济增长带来风险。
Compared to relatively weak global economic growth, West Asia and Africa has a good overall economic growth in 2012, but there are large discrepancies between regions. Due to rising oil prices and continued social unrest in some countries, West Asia and North Africa is divided into two regions with very different growth rates: expected GDP growth rates of oil-export countries and oil-import countries in 2012 are 1.2% and 6.6% respectively. Because of strong domestic demand, the growth in Sub-Saharan Africa is relatively balanced, and expected to grow by 5.3% in 2012. Due to positive growth prospects in 2013, West Asia and Africa will continue to maintain a good performance, but the social unrest in some countries in West Asia and North Africa, the uncertainty of oil price because of unknown perspective of global economy, the prevalence of high unemployment and high inflation will bring a risk to the sustained economic growth in West Asia and Africa.