本文采用集中度指数、动态分布方法和核密度函数方法研究了广东出口市场多元化的动态演变过程和长期趋势。从整体上看，广东出口市场表现出显著的多元化发展趋势，且近年来呈现加速的倾向，从长期看这一趋势更加明显。目前，由于受加工贸易顺差等因素影响，广东面临的国际经济环境仍然十分严峻，贸易摩擦增加。因此，还需要通过平衡贸易、改善贸易产品结构、开拓新兴市场和对外投资等措施进一步改善出口市场结构。
This paper investigated the dynamic evolution and long-term trend of the diversification of Guangdong export market.In view of the overall situation,Guangdong export market exhibit significant diversification and this trend become more obvious in a long-term view.Because of the enormous trade surplus originated from processing trade,Guangdong are facing grim international economic situation,such as the rapid increase of trade conflicts.Therefore,the export market structure should be further optimized through measures like trade balance approach.
