一年来中东北非局势持续动荡。利比亚后卡扎菲时代混乱不堪；伊朗因核问题同西方强硬对峙；以色列安全压力增大；伊拉克、也门恐怖袭击不断；叙利亚陷于内战，成为大国博弈的棋盘；埃及政府进行权力洗牌，削减军方势力；土耳其入欧盟未果，乘乱南下重建地区大国地位。中东北非剧变是该地区政治、经济、民族宗教、历史及社会发展中各种错综复杂的矛盾长期积累的总爆发，同时，美国的“大中东计划”和西方多年来推行的“民主改造伊斯兰世界”的行动也是剧变的重要诱因。剧变中各国经济受损，地区格局变化，伊斯兰势力趁乱崛起。以美国为首的西方国家的介入和干涉使中东北非局势更加复杂严峻，伊斯兰国家和西方国家的文化冲突逐步激化，最终点燃了整个伊斯兰世界的反美浪潮。目前来看，该地区的动荡局势仍将持续。
In 2012,the Middle East and North Africa remained in continued turmoil.Libya was still in chaos after the end of the Gaddafi era;Iran continued to confront the West due to the nuclear issue;Israel was under increased security pressures;Iraq and Yemen continued to be victims of terrorist attacks;Syria was sinking into civil war and becoming a board game for the great powers;the Egyptian government was reshuffling power by cutting military forces;and Turkey failed to join the European Union and returned to the Middle East to rebuild its regional power status.The reason behind the drastic changes in the Middle East and North Africa is the long-term accumulation of a variety of contradictions in the region's political,economic,ethnic,religious,historical,and social developments.In the meanwhile,the "Greater Middle East Initiative" of the United States and Western efforts over the years to implement "a democratic transformation of the Islamic world" have led to drastic changes in incentives.During the instability in the Middle East and North Africa,the national economies have been damaged,regional patterns have changed,relations between the major powers have adjusted and Islamic forces are rising.The Western countries led by the United States have intervened and interfered in the regional situation,making it more complex and challenging,and the cultural conflicts between the Islamic countries and the Western countries have gradually intensified,eventually igniting an anti-American wave in the entire Islamic world.Judging by the present situation,it seems likely that the volatility in the region will continue.
