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全球重大武装冲突概览:2007~2008年

文章摘要

2007~2008年的全球重大武装冲突,与上一年度相比,数量略有下降。冲突仍然集中在中东、南亚和非洲东北部地区。伊拉克战争、阿富汗战争、索马里战争、斯里兰卡内战、苏丹、印度、巴基斯坦、泰国和哥伦比亚的国内冲突等,仍然令世人瞩目。全球武装冲突日益出现暴力的碎片化和暴力组织的分散化特点,从而导致武装冲突日益顽固化,使政府和国际组织平息和解决冲突的难度大大增加。另外,引人注目的俄格冲突虽然对国际形势产生了较为重大的影响,但它并非俄罗斯挑战现有国际格局的标志,俄与西方国家仍会保持既对抗又合作的态势。

Abstract

The world’s major armed conflicts from 2007 to 2008 have a slight decrease in number,compared with the previous year.The Middle East,South Asia and Northeast Africa host the majority of the armed conflicts.The war in Iraq,the war in Afghanistan,Somalia war,civil war in Sri Lanka,civil armed conflicts in Sudan,India,Pakistan,Thailand and Colombia,are catching the world’s attention.The conflict has been characterized by fragmentation of violence and decentralization of the armed groups,which in turn makes the conflicts more stubborn and hard to settle by the governments and international organizations.Although the high-profile Russian-Georgian conflict has had a significant impact on the international situation,it does not mean that the Russians are challenging the existing international structure.On the contrary,Russia will still maintain the posture of both confrontation and cooperation with the Western countries.

作者简介
徐进:中国社会科学院世界经济与政治研究所研究员,主要研究领域为国际关系理论和国际安全问题。