中东北非变局从突尼斯开始,迅速蔓延到埃及、利比亚、也门、叙利亚、伊朗等多个国家。在政治对抗、暴力冲突乃至国际干预下的内战中,有些国家发生了政权更迭,有些国家危机重重,动荡不止。这些国家发生的政局动荡,源于经济全球化背景下暴露的民生危机,以及政府腐败、社会不公和两极分化所激起的广大民众对民主与平等的追求。此次事件不仅造成阿拉伯国家的政权危机,而且冲击了该地区原有的安全和力量格局。无论未来形势如何演变,这一事件都将给国际关系带来深刻的影响。
During the past several months, the uprising in Tunisia rapidly spread to Arab countries in North Africa and the Middle East: Egypt, Libya, Yemen, Syria, and other countries are all facing varying degrees of unrest. At present, there has already been regime change in Egypt and Libya, and anti-government protests are starting or continuing in other states. The Arab unrest began due to the livelihood crisis whereby the people suffered job losses, poverty, and injustice. However, the street demonstrations soon evolved into political movements calling for liberty, democracy, and equality. Also known as the Arab Spring, this movement not only caused a political crisis in this region, but also affected the existing security patterns in the region. Given the current situation, the unrest in the Middle East and North Africa is likely to continue for the foreseeable future.