本文研究中国对日直接投资(ODI)的影响因素,并通过协整分析和误差修正模型加以实证检验。结论认为:国内经济规模的增长显著促进了中国对日直接投资能力的提升;对日直接投资与对日出口之间具有替代效应;人民币兑日元汇率的上涨促进了对日直接投资的增加;日本对华直接投资作为技术外溢渠道同样促进了对日直接投资的增长,但影响系数较小;因中国资本和金融市场仍存在较高程度的管制,两国利率差异的作用微弱。
This paper studies influencial factors of China’s ODI in Japan,and empirically tests these factors through co-integration analysis and error correction model. The results show that the rapid growth of the domestic economic scale significantly promoted the ability of China’s ODI in Japan;there was a substitute effect between China’s ODI in Japan and China’s exports to Japan;the appreciation of the RMB has increased China’s ODI in Japan;Japan’s direct investment in China as a technology spillover channel also contributed to the growth of China’s ODI in Japan,while the influence coefficient is very small;for Chinese capital and financial market still have a high degree of regulation,the effect of interest rate differential between these two countries was weak.
Keywords: | China’s Outward Direst Investment in JapanInfluence FactorEconomic GrowthSino-Japanese TradeExchange Rate |