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热词推荐: 能源基础设施

印度经济:增速下降,不确定性因素增加

文章摘要

2008~2009财年,印度经济受前期国内紧缩货币政策和国际金融危机的影响,增速明显放缓。目前印度经济应对危机的有利因素,就是通货膨胀已趋缓,国内银行体系尚稳健,外汇储备依旧保持高位存量。而不利因素则主要是双赤字越来越突出,这将威胁到印度经济的长期稳定性。虽然印度政府目前已采取了积极的财政和货币政策,但由于全球经济特别是欧美国家经济仍然没有复苏的迹象,印度经济短期内很难回到9%以上的快速增长轨道。

Abstract

In 2008-2009 financial year,hurt by the earlier tight money supply and international financial crisis,India’s economic growth slowed down. At present,India has some positive factors facing the crisis,which include coming down inflation rate,comparatively healthy banking system,sufficient foreign exchange reserves. However,its rising duel deficits (fiscal deficit and current account deficit) may cast a threat upon its long-term economic stability. Despite of its expansive economic policies,with global economy still being trapped into the crisis,India will not easily return to the fast track of 9% growth rate in a short time.

作者简介
刘小雪:中国社会科学院亚洲太平洋研究所副研究员,博士。