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东亚金融合作:危机驱动与未来前景

文章摘要

在美国次贷危机演变为全球金融动荡的背景下,东亚地区所面临的主要金融风险包括:资本流动的逆转;信贷紧缩和汇率剧烈变动。东亚金融合作开始于1997~1998年的亚洲金融危机,到目前已经在区域资本流动监控、清迈双边货币互换和亚洲债券市场等方面取得了显著的进步,这使东亚地区在应对次贷危机带来的金融风险方面处于较为有利的地位。此次危机对东亚金融合作来讲具有双重影响:一方面是促进合作深入的契机,如清迈倡议的多边化、亚洲债券市场在CGIM和ACU等基础设施上的进展等;另一方面,东亚金融合作路径可能会出现新变化。

Abstract

Against the backdrop of that subprime crisis in the U.S has been deteriorated into a global financial turmoil,East Asian economies face three kinds of financial risks,that is,the reversal capital flow,credit crunch and volatile foreign exchange rate,etc.. The ongoing regional financial cooperation in East Asia stems from the outbreak of 1997-1998 Asian financial crisis,and by now has made progress in regional capital monitoring mechanism,Chiang Mai initiative of bilateral currency swaps and Asian bonds market. Thus,the development of financial cooperation has put East Asian economies in an advantageous position in defense of the global financial turmoil. It should be pointed out that the subprime crisis will bring about new changes and prospect to Asian financial cooperation:from Chiang Mai Initiative to Asian Monetary Fund;Asian bond market will be strengthened with two facilities of CGIM and ACU;Asia’s position in the reform of international monetary system;the position of RMB in East Asia will be enhanced. According counterweight strategy,the path of Asian financial cooperation will be influenced.

作者简介
刘均胜:中国社会科学院亚洲太平洋研究所经济研究室经济学博士,主要研究领域:亚太区域的金融、贸易。