中印两国具有引领亚洲自主增长的潜力，但是要实现这个潜力，却有两个前提条件：一是中印两国自身必须实现可持续的自主增长；二是它们的经济增长必须对亚洲其他发展中国家具有溢出效应。中国的经济转型和印度的再工业化是它们各自中长期经济增长面临的最艰巨任务。但是有理由相信，如果处置得当，中印两国凭借着它们的人口优势、技术后发优势以及制度变革可能释放的增长潜力，在未来相当长的时期内依然会是世界经济增长的最大亮点。而通过推进亚洲的区域合作，必定能够扩大中印经济增长的溢出效应。但从目前的发展来看，要想更深地推动亚洲的区域经贸合作，并最终建立亚洲统一大市场，各方就必须在政治合作上有所突破，而这一点目前难于实现。
China and India have great potential to lead Asia’s self-sustained growth.To realize that potential，they have to meet two preconditions：for both of them to sustain their own growth，and to strengthen the spillover effects of their growth to the neighboring economies.Some serious challenges are posing them in their way to highly sustained mid-long term growth：the economic transition for China and the target of reindustrialization for India，but we still believe they can finally make it by taking all their advantages.To expand spillover effects of their economic growth，China and India must cooperate with other Asian economies in deepening regional integration so as to form a unified Asian market like EU or NAFTA.However，in absence of political breakthrough，the single Asian market will hardly be seen in the near future.
| Keywords： | IndiaChinaEconomic Grouth |
