伊朗核问题升级,适逢国际石油市场进入脆弱期。世界剩余石油生产能力减少,中东地区局势紧张,石油供应中断风险增大,国际油价节节攀高,世界经济增长已受到威胁。伊朗严重依赖石油出口,不会贸然动用石油武器。石油因素是美国和伊朗走向极端的制约因素。
The escalation of the Iranian nuclear issue coincides with a period of fragile international oil market. The spare capacity of world oil production declines,tension in the Middle East increase,the risk of oil supply disruption goes up,the international oil price tends to be higher and the world economic growth is threatened. Heavily depending on oil exportation,Iran is unlikely to hastily use the oil weapon. Oil factor serves rather as a constraining factor preventing United States and Iran from going to extreme.
Keywords: | IranNuclear IssueOil Market |