近年来,尼日利亚经济得益于国际油价的持续走高而连年快速增长,同时在将资源优势转化为发展优势的过程中也取得了一定的成功。但由于内部经济结构失衡,对国际市场和资本高度依赖,经济发展脆弱性显著。2008年7月爆发的国际金融危机,将这种脆弱性暴露放大。本文拟从宏观经济、金融体系、主要产业、国际收支和财政收支等多个角度剖析金融危机对尼国经济全面而深远的影响;介绍该国为降低金融危机危害而采取的包括货币政策和财政政策在内的一揽子措施;对该国短期经济走势做出预判;并对该国解决经济发展的深层次问题提出相应的建议。
In the last few years,Nigerian economy has gained great strength from the continuously increasing oil price. Meanwhile,certain success has been achieved for Nigerian government to transform its national advantage in natural resource into the advantage in economic development. However,due to the internal imbalance of its economic structure and the highly dependence on international market and capital,the fragile nature of Nigerian economy is obvious. This disadvantage of Nigerian economy was further exposed and amplified ever since the breakout of international financial crisis in July 2008. The major objectives of this paper is to:(1)reveal the ongoing influence of the crisis on Nigerian economy from different aspects including macro economy,financial system,major sectors,international balance and fiscal budget;(2)introduce the monetary,fiscal and other policies that Nigerian government has implemented to mitigate the shock of the crisis;(3)have a brief forecast on the Nigerian economy in the next two years;(4)give some advice on how to deal with the deep-rooted problems which are bottlenecking the development of Nigerian economy.
Keywords: | Financial CrisisNigerian EconomyDecline of IncomeFluctuation of Stock MarketDepreciation of Naira |