全球性金融危机引发了世界市场需求的急剧下滑,使国际贸易有可能出现二战以来最大的倒退。预计2009年国际贸易量(实际贸易增长)将出现10%左右的负增长,国际贸易额(名义贸易增长)增长-18%左右。如果世界经济能够在2009年底或2010年初开始企稳回升的话,2010年世界贸易有望走出负增长的阴影。
The collapse in global demand brought on by the biggest economic downturn will drive exports down by roughly 10% in volume terms in 2009,down by 18% in dollar terms,the biggest such contraction since the Second World War. If world economic could recover in 2009 or 2010,global trade could slowly increase in 2010.