文章摘要
受益于快速的金融稳定措施、持续的货币扩张政策和各国的财政刺激方案,欧元区经济随着外部需求的逐渐回升将在2010年结束衰退。但是,仍然有许多因素在阻止欧元区经济的进一步复苏,这些因素包括:高失业率和经济的不确定性提高对消费增长具有抑制作用;货币银行机构对实体部门的金融支持减弱、产能利用率过低等将会抑制投资增长;财政赤字的急剧上升限制了欧元区各国进一步刺激经济的财政能力。
Abstract
The recession of the Euro area economy will come to an end in 2010 as result of the expansionary monetary and fiscal policy,as well as the pick-up of the export. However,there are some factors impeding the recovery of the Euro area economy. Unemployment rate is still high and consumption may remain sluggish,the financial markets are still trembling and fail to support the real economy,low capacity utilization will further restrict investment,and the rapid increase of fiscal deficit will constrain the ability of governments to stimulate economic growth.
作者简介
姚枝仲:中国社会科学院世界经济与政治研究所党委书记、研究员,副所长,中国社会科学院国家全球战略智库副理事长,中国社会科学院大学国际政治经济学院博士生导师,新兴经济体研究会会长,中国世界经济学会副会长。主要研究领域为宏观经济学和国际经济学。