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热词推荐: 能源基础设施

美国“出口倍增计划”前景及对中国的影响

文章摘要

美国“出口倍增计划”目标实现,拥有美国出口潜力大、竞争力强、出口管制改革、国际分工新模式正在形成等长期、结构性的正面因素,也存在欧洲市场复苏缓慢、美元升值趋势等短期、负面因素。因此,尽管出口倍增的目标实现难度较大,但并非遥不可及。美国扩大出口,有利于扩大对华高科技出口和中国经济发展方式转变,但是中国也可能面临与美国全球竞争加剧和人民升值压力等挑战。

Abstract

>In the U.S.National Exports Initiative or Export Doubling Plan,there are not only long-term,structural positive factors including great export potential,high export competitiveness,export control reform and the emerging new model of international division of labor,but also short-term negative factors including slow recovery in European market and appreciation tendency of U.S.dollar.Thus,while it is very difficult to achieve the target of doubling exports,it will not be out of reach for the U.S.A government.For China,U.S. expanding export will increase high-tech exports to China and accelerate transformation of China’s economic development pattern.However,China may face more competition in international market with U.S.A and great pressure of RMB appreciation.

作者简介
黄志龙:黄志龙,中国国际经济交流中心研究部。