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热词推荐: 能源基础设施

全球主权债务状况及其启示

文章摘要

据IMF预测,截至2010年2月底,全球主权债务总额已高达36万亿美元,2011年底将增加到49万亿美元,到2014年发达国家公共债务占GDP的比重平均将高达110%。总体来看,我国的债务在可控范围内,而且若按照国际惯例计算国内财政收入对GDP的比率,中国政府(包括地方政府)具有较强的偿债能力。但是,欧洲主要国家及其他发达国家的主权债务状况对我国仍然具有启示作用:财政收支和政府债务管理必须坚持审慎原则;加强和改善外汇储备;积极参与区域乃至国际货币事务;调整和优化出口结构。

Abstract

>According to IMF forecasts,as at the end of February 2010,the global total of sovereign debt as much as 36 trillion U.S.dollars,by the end of 2011 will increase to 49 trillion U.S.dollars,by 2014 in the developed countries the proportion of public debt will reach 110% on average .Overall,the debt in a manageable size,and in accordance with international practice,the domestic revenue ratio of the GDP,the Chinese government (including local government)has a strong ability to repay debt.However,the debt situation of the major European countries and other developed countries still has a revelation to our country:fiscal revenue and expenditure and the government must adhere to prudent debt management;to strengthen and improve foreign exchange reserves;actively participate in regional and international monetary affairs;adjust and optimize the export structure.

作者简介
梁云凤:梁云凤,中国国际经济交流中心。