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津巴布韦大选及其政治与社会发展走势

文章摘要

2013年7月举行的津巴布韦大选具有里程碑式的意义,它结束了持续4年的两党三方共治局面,使民盟重新获得一党执政地位。通过对选举结果的分析可以看出,民盟与民革运—茨派在过去几年中力量对比发生了重大变化,民盟重新赢得了津巴布韦民众的支持。但选举未能解决民盟内部及津巴布韦与西方之间的问题,津形势发展仍有许多不确定之处,民盟的执政之路不会一帆风顺。

Abstract

The Harmonious Election in 2013 became a milestone in Zimbabwe by ending the union government of the ZANU-PF,MDC-T and MDC-M. The ZANU-PF recovered from the humiliation it suffered in the general election in 2008 and regained its role as the sole ruling party in the country. The result of the election reflects the changes in political parties in Zimbabwe. By analyzing the reasons behind the success and failure of the two major parties,this article tries to predict the future development within both the political parties and state policies.

作者简介
钟伟云:钟伟云,中共中央对外联络部四局局长。