现代服务业是全球经济发展和产业升级的核心动力。粤港澳大湾区作为中国经济结构调整的重要引擎，凭借丰富的资源为产业协同发展提供了强大支撑。本报告基于数据包络分析和Malmquist指数测算全要素生产率，评估了2019～2024年大湾区11个城市服务业的生产绩效。结果显示，得益于技术进步与资源优化配置，深圳、香港等核心城市的知识密集型产业效率领先；而受限于资源与技术积累，佛山、肇庆等中小城市规模效率不足。传统服务业下滑，数字经济快速发展，推动了线上服务业崛起。研究表明，服务业效率提升依赖技术创新、数字化转型与区域协同。未来，区域政策应通过优化资源配置、加强技术合作、深化数字化服务，推动服务业向高附加值转型。
The modern service industry serves as a core driver of global economic growth and industrial upgrading. As a pivotal engine for China’s economic restructuring，the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area leverages its abundant resources and diversified advantages to strongly support coordinated industrial development. This report applies a Data Envelopment Analysis-based Malmquist Productivity Index approach to evaluate the production efficiency of the service sector across the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area’s 11 cities from 2019 to 2024. The findings reveal that core cities such as Shenzhen and Hong Kong lead in efficiency within knowledge-intensive industries，primarily due to technological progress and optimized resource allocation. In contrast，smaller cities like Foshan and Zhaoqing face limitations in scale efficiency due to constrained resources and insufficient technological accumulation. The decline of traditional service industries and the rapid development of the digital economy have driven the rise of online service industries. The report underscores that improvements in service sector efficiency depend on technological innovation，digital transformation，and regional coordination. Moving forward，regional policies should focus on optimizing resource allocation，enhancing technological collaboration，and deepening digital service integration to drive the service industry toward higher value-added development.
