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新冠疫情对蒙古国经济发展的影响(2022)

文章摘要

本报告主要叙述了世界各国政府为降低新冠疫情风险而采取的经济措施,蒙古国政府应对新冠疫情传播危害的情况,为保护民众避免感染新冠病毒以及弥补因封控造成的经济损失而采取的政策措施的成效。报告分析了新冠疫情对蒙古国主要宏观经济指标下滑的影响,介绍了自1990年以来经济增长首次降至最低水平,实体经济即制造业下滑,国家预算总收入减少和支出增加,“十万亿图格里克”计划措施造成货币供应量增加和居民、企业贷款减少,铜精矿和煤炭出口减少对外贸进出口额下降的影响等情况。

Abstract

This paper describes the economic measures taken by governments around the world to reduce the risk of the New Crown epidemic,the Mongolian government’s response to the hazards of the spread of the New Crown epidemic,and the effectiveness of the policy measures taken to protect the population from the New Crown virus as well as to make up for the economic losses caused by the closure and control. The impact of the New Crown epidemic on the decline in Mongolia’s key macroeconomic indicators is analyzed,including the decline in economic growth to its lowest level for the first time since 1990,the decline in the real economy,i.e.,the manufacturing sector,the recovery of the manufacturing,trade,and service sectors after the lifting of the stringent outbreak closure in June 2021,the reasons for the decrease in total revenues and the increase in expenditures of the state budget,and the reasons for the “Ten Trillion Tugrik” program measures caused by the increase in money supply and the decrease in loans to residents and businesses,the impact of the decrease in exports of copper concentrates and coal on the decline in foreign trade imports and exports,and other circumstances.

作者简介
〔蒙〕阿·达瓦苏荣:〔蒙〕阿·达瓦苏荣,博士,教授,蒙古国科学院国际研究所区域与多边合作研究室主任。