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粤港澳大湾区地区生产总值及主要行业增加值测算与发展趋势分析报告

文章摘要

推进粤港澳大湾区建设,是以习近平同志为核心的党中央做出的重大决策,也是新时代推动“一国两制”事业发展的新实践。深入分析粤港澳大湾区各城市协同发展状况,反映总体经济发展水平和产业结构变动趋势,有利于进一步促进粤港澳大湾区高质量发展。本报告在研究分析珠三角九市、香港和澳门相关经济指标的分类标准、统计范围和核算方法的基础上,测算2012~2023年粤港澳大湾区地区生产总值和主要行业增加值等统计指标,发现2012~2023年粤港澳大湾区经济增长趋势良好,产业结构持续优化,产业分工格局初步形成,但也面临产业同质性仍较突出、部分城市产业基础薄弱等挑战。因此,需要通过强化“核心城市—支撑城市”功能定位避免同质化竞争,通过提升产业基础薄弱城市能级促进均衡发展,通过深化规则衔接与要素流动促进融合发展。

Abstract

The construction of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area is a major decision made by the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China with Comrade Xi Jinping at its core,and it is also a new practice for promoting the development of the “One Country,Two Systems” cause in the new era. In-depth analysis of the collaborative development status of cities in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area,and reflecting the overall economic development level and industrial changes,is conducive to further promoting the high-quality development of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area. Based on the study and analysis of the classification standards,statistical scopes,and accounting methods of relevant economic indicators in the nine Pearl River Delta cities,Hong Kong,and Macao,this report calculates statistical indicators such as the regional GDP and added value of major industries in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area from 2012 to 2023. It is found that the economy of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area showed a good growth trend from 2012 to 2023,the industrial structure was continuously optimized,and industrial division pattern has taken initial shape. However,it is also faced with challenges such as prominent industrial homogeneity and weak industrial foundations in some cities. Therefore,it is necessary to avoid homogeneous competition by strengthening the functional positioning of “core cities—supporting cities”,promote balanced development by enhancing the energy level of cities with weak industrial foundations,and promote integrated development by deepening rule convergence and factor flow.

作者简介
李德洗:李德洗,管理学博士,应用经济学博士后,高级统计师,广东财经大学中国数据研究院院长,主要研究方向为经济统计、宏观经济、数字经济。
许宪春:许宪春,经济学博士,高级统计师,广东财经大学中国数据研究院项目顾问,主要研究方向为国民经济核算、中国政府统计、宏观经济。
李慧清:李慧清,经济学博士,硕士研究生导师,广东财经大学工商管理学院讲师,主要研究方向为创新创业、乡村振兴。
王方方:王方方,经济学博士,教授,博士生导师,广东财经大学数字经济学院院长,广东省哲学社会科学实验室——广东财经大学生态环境资源与经济社会系统协同演化重点实验室执行主任,主要研究方向为数字经济、中观经济、区域经济。