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玻利维亚:执政党面临分裂,政治图景充满变数(2023~2024)

文章摘要

2023年,执政党争取社会主义运动内部分裂加剧,面临解体,执政党和反对党之间的政治两极分化亦日趋严重,多变的政治图景影响了政策推行和国家治理成效。2023年出口额下跌和货币恐慌导致消费及投资疲软,玻利维亚经济增速出现大幅下滑,但GDP仍保持正增长。政治冲突和经济萧条造成社会动荡加剧,抗议运动频繁。政府完成养老金制度国有化进程。在复杂多变的国际环境下,阿尔塞政府继续推行温和务实的外交策略,加强与周边左翼国家及中国和俄罗斯等传统友好国家的关系,成为南方共同市场的正式成员国,积极参与和推动区域一体化建设。

Abstract

In 2023,high tensions inside the ruling left-wing party Movimiento al Socialismo(MAS)are raising political instability and governability risks,causing a party rupture. The political polarization between the ruling party and the opposition party is also increasing. Bolivia’s economy has slowed sharply in 2023,though still achieves slight growth,owing to falling exports and currency jitters that weighed on consumption and investment. Social unrest is exacerbated and protests break out intensely and frequently during the year of 2023,owing to political conflicts and economic depression. The government has accomplished the nationalization of the pension system. The Arce administration continues to pursue a moderate and pragmatic strategy in the diplomatic field and to expand cooperation with neighbouring and traditional friendly countries such as China and Russia. The government is committed to promoting regional integration. Bolivia has become a full member of the MERCOSUR.

作者简介
宋霞:宋霞,中国社会科学院拉丁美洲研究所副研究员,主要研究方向为拉美历史。