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2023年太平洋岛国地区政治和经济形势评析

文章摘要

随着外部局势不断变化,大国博弈加剧,太平洋岛国地区的战略重要性也逐步升高,2023年太平洋岛国在政治和经济领域整体依然面临复杂局势。一方面,虽然太平洋岛国的地区主义较往年凝聚力有所增强,但一些国家的内部政治矛盾仍旧存在;另一方面,太平洋岛国面对的气候问题在国际舞台上占据更加重要的地位,但相关行动的落实还存在许多困难。在经济方面,太平洋岛国呈现增长放缓趋势,并逐步回到正常的经济增长速度。在内外部复杂的形势下,太平洋岛国在国内致力于保持政治稳定和经济增长,在国际上积极促进双边和多边合作,主动在国际舞台上发表意见。尽管该地区的发展前景仍充满不确定性,但中国推动的“一带一路”建设在此地区的持续实施,以及中国与太平洋岛国之间日益加深的“全面战略伙伴关系”,为该地区的稳定与繁荣发展提供了关键动力。

Abstract

As the external situation continues to deteriorate,the dynamics of the great power game rises,and the strategic importance of the Pacific island region gradually increases,the Pacific island countries as a whole will continue to face a complex situation in the political and economic spheres in 2023. On the one hand,although the cohesion of regionalism in the Pacific Island countries has been strengthened compared to previous years,internal political conflicts still exist in some countries;on the other hand,the issue of the climate crisis faced by the Pacific Island countries occupies a more important position in the international arena,but there are still many difficulties in the implementation of the final action;and the economy is showing a slowing down trend,and gradually returning to the normal rate of economic growth. In the face of complex and challenging internal and external circumstances,the Pacific island countries were committed to maintaining political stability and economic growth domestically,and were actively promoting bilateral and multilateral cooperation at the international level and taking the initiative to make their voices heard in the international arena. While the region’s development prospects remain uncertain,the continued implementation of China’s Belt and Road Initiative in the region and the deepening Comprehensive Strategic Partnership between China and the Pacific Island countries provide a key impetus to the region’s stability and prosperity.

作者简介
吴艳:吴艳,博士,广东外语外贸大学太平洋岛国战略研究中心副主任,主要研究领域为美国问题、太平洋岛国地区政治。