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日韩关系调整及对东北亚格局演化的影响

文章摘要

当前,随着乌克兰危机长期化发展,国际秩序深刻变革,美国推动亚太盟友为其“印太战略”提供更多帮助,日本寻求在携美遏华中发展战略自主能力,韩国则试图强化维护国家安全的战略环境。因此,在美日韩三国自身战略需求的推动下,东北亚地区“集团对抗”的趋势增强。2023年,韩国总统尹锡悦和日本首相岸田文雄互访,两国领导人重启时隔12年的“穿梭外交”,开启了日韩关系调整和改善的新篇章。在日韩关系调整与美国遏华战略形成共振的背景下,日韩对华政策消极性有所增强,但未来日韩关系前景仍面临诸多严峻挑战,日韩双边关系内生的局限性无法破解,两国“积极合作”难以通往“深度结盟”,美日韩三边的“非对称关系”将持续影响东北亚格局及周边安全环境演变。

Abstract

Currently,with the prolonged development of the Ukraine crisis and profound changes in the international order,the U.S. is pushing its Asia-Pacific allies to provide more help for its “Indo-Pacific strategy”,Japan is seeking to develop its strategic autonomy by cooperating with the United States to curb China,and the Republic of Korea is attempting to enhance the strategic environment for the maintenance of national security. As a result,the trend of “bloc confrontation” in Northeast Asia has intensified,driven by the strategic needs of the U.S.,Japan,and the Republic of Korea. In 2023 The exchange of visits between South Korean President Yoon Seok-yul and Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida,and the resumption of shuttle diplomacy between the two countries after a 12-year hiatus,has opened the way for the restructuring of Japan-the Republic of Korea relations and the improvement of the relationship between the two countries,which opens a new chapter for the adjustment and improvement of Japan-the Republic of Korea relations. In the context of the convergence of the restructuring of Japan-the Republic of Korea relations and the U.S. strategy to contain China,Japan and the Republic of Korea’s negative policy toward China will be enhanced,but the future outlook for Japan-the Republic of Korea relations are still faced with a number of serious challenges,Japan-the Republic of Korea bilateral relations endogenous limitations can not be overcome,and the two countries’ “positive cooperation” is difficult to produce a “deep alliance “The “asymmetric relationship” between the U.S.,Japan and the Republic of Korea will continue to influence the evolution of Northeast Asia and the neighboring security environment.

作者简介
孙家珅:孙家珅,历史学博士,中国社会科学院日本研究所外交研究室助理研究员,主要研究方向为东海问题、日本外交。
张勇:张勇,法学博士,中国社会科学院日本研究所外交研究室主任、研究员,主要研究方向为日本外交与安全、对外战略与决策机制、东北亚国际关系。
孫家珅:
張勇: