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上海服务“一带一路”建设数据报告(2023)

文章摘要

本文首先回顾了2023年上海深化“一带一路”贸易投资合作的新进展,接着采用综合指数法构建了上海服务“一带一路”建设贸易投资指数,系统考察了2013年以来上海与“一带一路”沿线63个国家的贸易联通和投资合作情况,并重点总结了2023年的变化情况。结果显示:2023年上海服务“一带一路”建设贸易投资指数下降明显,贸易联通指数和投资合作指数呈现相反走势;2023年仅独联体和蒙古国的贸易投资指数显著提升,独联体和蒙古国、西亚北非和中亚的贸易联通指数上升,六大区域的投资合作指数均下降。另外,本文还选取江苏、浙江、北京等8个省(区、市),对比分析上海与其服务“一带一路”建设的成效。对比发现:上海在与“一带一路”共建国家的进出口贸易总额中排名第四,出口贸易额占比和进口贸易额占比与北京和广西均存在一定差距;2023年上海与其他8个省(区、市)向“一带一路”共建国家投资的企业数量和项目数量均大幅减少。未来,上海应促进新质生产力与共建“一带一路”高质量发展双向赋能、加强规则“软联通”和基础设施“硬联通”、扎实推动企业“走出去”。

Abstract

This report first reviews the recent progress in Shanghai’s deepening of BRI trade and investment cooperation in 2023. It then utilizes the comprehensive index method to construct Shanghai’s trade and investment index for serving the BRI. The report systematically examines the relationship between Shanghai and 63 BRI countries since 2013,focusing on summarizing the new changes in 2023. The results indicate that in 2023,Shanghai’s trade and investment index dropped significantly. The trade connectivity index and investment cooperation index showed opposite trends. Specifically,in 2023,only the trade and investment index of the Commonwealth of Independent States(CIS)and Mongolia increased significantly. The trade connectivity index of CIS and Mongolia,West Asia and North Africa,and Central Asia increased,while the investment cooperation index of the six regions all decreased. Additionally,the report selects 8 provinces of China to conduct a comparative analysis of Shanghai’s effectiveness in serving the BRI. The comparison reveals that Shanghai ranks fourth in total import and export with the BRI countries. There is a noticeable gap between Shanghai’s export and import proportions and those of Beijing and Guangxi. In 2023,Shanghai and the eight other provinces experienced a significant decrease in the number of enterprises and projects invested to BRI countries,with Shanghai showing a larger decline. Looking ahead,Shanghai should promote two-way empowerment of new productive forces and high-quality BRI development speed up the “soft connection” of rules and “hard connection” of infrastructure with relevant countries,and actively encourage enterprises to “go global”.

作者简介
李晓静:李晓静,经济学博士,中共上海市委党校上海发展研究院助理研究员,主要研究方向为数字经济、对外开放。
陈文彦:陈文彦,上海研究院科研处主管,中级经济师,主要研究方向为城市与区域发展。