2023年以来,通过增长与创新双轮驱动、绿色发展与生态保护和数字赋能与产业升级,我国在海洋经济生态创新发展方面取得了显著成效,同时也面临着政治、经济、社会和技术等方面的机遇和挑战。本报告通过构建三阶段理论模型和评价指标体系,在诊断了我国海洋经济生态创新发展主要影响因素的基础上,分析了2006~2021年我国海洋经济生态创新水平的时空动态。结果表明,研究期间内的海洋经济生态创新平均水平呈稳步上升趋势,但存在较为显著的区域差异,且差异呈愈演愈烈趋势。最后,运用自回归移动平均模型预测了我国海洋经济生态创新发展的趋势,并提出了提升我国海洋经济生态创新发展能力和水平的对策建议。
Under the new era’s context,a profound analysis of the spatiotemporal dynamics of the eco-innovation level of China’s marine economy holds significant theoretical and practical implications for advancing the construction of marine ecological civilization,propelling the high-quality development of the marine economy,and achieving the maritime power strategy. Since 2023,through the double-wheel drive of growth and innovation,green development and ecological protection,and digital empowerment and industrial upgrading,China has achieved remarkable results in the eco-innovative development of its marine economy,and at the same time,it is also facing opportunities and challenges in the political,economic,social and technological aspects. By constructing a three-stage theoretical model and evaluation index system,the spatio-temporal dynamics of China’s marine economic eco-innovation level from 2006 to 2021 is analyzed based on the diagnosis of the main influencing factors of China’s marine economic eco-innovation development. The results show that the average level of marine economic eco-innovation in the study period shows a steady upward trend,but there are more significant regional differences,and the differences show a tendency to become more and more intense. Finally,the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model is used to predict the trend of eco-innovation development of China’s marine economy,and suggestions for policy responses to enhance the capacity and level of eco-innovation development of China’s marine economy are put forward.