本报告以蓝碳经济发展能力为研究对象，基于2013～2022年11个沿海省份的面板数据，探究中国蓝碳经济发展能力与空间分布情况。结果表明：①中国蓝碳经济发展整体水平较低，尤其是自然生态系统固碳能力、蓝碳科研能力以及蓝碳政策力度还具有较大的提升空间；②海洋生态保护能力和海洋生态环境能力出现下降趋势，这对蓝碳经济发展的可持续性构成威胁；③不同省份的蓝碳经济发展能力存在显著差异，蓝碳经济发展能力与地理区位、区域总体经济能力并无直接关联。据此，提出促进蓝碳经济发展的对策建议：首先，综合发挥不同要素的作用；其次，因地制宜，实施差异化的发展措施；最后，做好相关保障工作。
This report takes the development ability of blue carbon sink economy as the research object，and based on panel data from 11 coastal provinces from 2013 to 2022，explores the ability and spatial distribution of blue carbon sink economy development in China. The results indicate that：（1）the overall development ability of China’s blue carbon sink economy is relatively low，especially in terms of natural ecosystem carbon sink capacity，blue carbon sink research capacity，and blue carbon sink policy strength，which still have significant room for improvement；（2）the state of marine ecological protection and the state of marine ecological environment are showing a downward trend，which poses a threat to the sustainability of the development of blue carbon sink economy；（3）there are significant differences for the development ability of blue carbon sink economy among different provinces，and the level of development ability of blue carbon sink economy is not directly related to geographical location and overall regional economic conditions. Based on this，policy recommendations are proposed to promote the development of blue carbon sink economy：（1）comprehensively leverage the roles of different factors；（2）adapt to local conditions and implement differentiated development measures；（3）carry out relevant guarantee work.
