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珠海经济特区发展报告

文章摘要

2023年,面对复杂多变的国内国际形势,珠海经济特区主要经济指标承压,总体恢复缓慢。其中,工业经济增速放缓,固定资产投资下滑,外贸经济持续波动,居民消费和居民收入增长缓慢。本报告认为,珠海经济特区面临总体经济增速趋势性下滑、房地产行业调整对经济影响较大、人口增长缓慢和老龄化趋势加剧以及地方财政债务杠杆率较高等多重挑战。本报告提出以下对策建议:调整优化房地产调控政策;扩大政府支出,提升政府资金使用效率,达到政府资金乘数效应;抢抓第四次工业革命机遇,提高全要素生产率,实现高质量发展。

Abstract

In 2023,under the complicated and ever-changing situations at home and abroad,Zhuhai’s main economic indicators were under pressure,and the overall of Zhuhai recovered slowly. Among them,Zhuhai’ls industrial economic growth slowed down,fixed asset investment in almost all industries declined,and the foreign trade economy continued to fluctuate;residents’ consumption and income growth were slow. This report concludes that Zhuhai faced many challenges and risks,including trends of decline in Zhuhai’s overall economic growth,drastic adjustments in Zhuhai’s real estate industry,slow population growth and intensified aging trends,and a high leverage ratio of local fiscal debt. This report proposes that the government should adjust and optimize real estate regulation policies to stabilize and restore consumption,investment and employment in the real estate industry chain;expand government spending,improve the efficiency of government funds,to achieve a multiplier effect of government funds;especially,it is necessary to seize the opportunities of the Fourth Industrial Revolution,improve total factor productivity,and achieve high-quality development.

作者简介
陈红泉:陈红泉,深圳大学中国经济特区研究中心讲师,主要研究方向为经济特区、货币理论与货币政策。