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中国对“一带一路”共建国家投资安全态势分析(2022)

文章摘要

当前,中国对“一带一路”共建国家投资范围不断扩大,金额持续增长,但其投资安全依然受多方面因素影响,主要包括经济安全、金融安全、政治安全、社会安全、对华关系安全等因素。本研究基于相关理论基础和实践经验,收集2010~2020年相关数据,构建含5个一级指标、39个二级指标的投资安全评价模型,并以“投资安全指数”为综合衡量中国企业对“一带一路”共建国家投资的安全参考。总体看来,“一带一路”共建国家的投资安全指数存在差异,卢森堡、新加坡、马耳他位居前三,叙利亚、委内瑞拉和利比亚投资安全指数最低。中东欧和其他欧洲国家整体水平最高,而撒哈拉以南非洲和北非整体水平最低。未来可以根据各地区投资安全水平,调整投资量和投资重心,更好推进“一带一路”投资建设进程。

Abstract

At present,the scope of China’s investment in “Belt and Road” co-construction countries is expanding and the amount of investment continues to increase. However,the investment security is still affected by various factors,including economic,financial,political,social and security of relations with China. Based on relevant theoretical basis and practical experience,this study collected relevant data from 2010 to 2020 and constructed an investment safety evaluation model containing 5 first-level indicators and 39 second-level indicators. The “investment safety Index” was used as a comprehensive reference to measure the safety of Chinese enterprises’ investment in countries along the “Belt and Road”. In general,there are differences in the investment security index of countries along the “Belt and Road”,Luxembourg,Singapore and Malta rounded out the top three,with Syria,Venezuela and Libya ranked lowest. Central and Eastern Europe and other European countries had the highest overall levels,while sub-Saharan Africa and North Africa had the lowest overall levels. In the future,we can adjust the amount and focus of investment according to the investment security level of different regions to better promote the investment development process of the “Belt and Road”.

作者简介
余金艳:余金艳,北京第二外国语学院区域国别学院(中国“一带一路”战略研究院)教授,地理学博士,主要研究领域为经济地理、区域发展与政策模拟。
梁昊光:梁昊光,中国科学院中国现代化研究中心主任、研究员,中国科学院文献情报中心开放科学研究中心主任,中国科学院大学经济与管理学院教授、博士生导师。