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2023年德国经济与公共财政状况发展评述

文章摘要

2023年,德国经济表现不佳,GDP下降了0.3%。主要原因包括高通胀、能源危机、投资放缓和全球经济环境疲软等。2023年德国财政赤字为827亿欧元,比2022年有所改善,主要得益于能源价格补贴的逐步取消和税收收入的稳步增长。政府在推动经济复苏和可持续发展方面实施了多项政策,包括控制财政赤字规模、调整税收政策、支持中小企业、补充预算和宣布进入“紧急状态”以及推动向绿色经济转型。展望2024年,德国经济前景依然充满不确定性且极有可能增长停滞,但是预计通胀率和财政赤字将显著下降,经济有望缓慢恢复。

Abstract

In 2023,Germany’s economic performance was poor,with GDP declining by 0.3%. The main reasons for this included high inflation,an energy crisis,slowed investment,and a weak global economic environment. Germany’s fiscal deficit in 2023 was 87.4 billion euros,accounting for 2.5% of GDP,showing an improvement compared to 2022. This improvement was mainly due to the gradual cancellation of energy price subsidies and steady growth in tax revenue. The government implemented several policies to promote economic recovery and sustainable development,including controlling the fiscal deficit,adjusting tax policies,supporting small and medium-sized enterprises,supplementing the budget,declaring a state of emergency,and promoting a green economic transition. Looking ahead to 2024,Germany’s economic outlook remains uncertain and is highly likely to experience stagnation. However,the inflation rate and fiscal deficit are expected to decline significantly,and the economy is anticipated to recover slowly.

作者简介
胡子南:胡子南,经济学博士,同济大学德国问题研究所/欧盟研究所助理教授,主要研究领域为跨境投资、国际金融、欧洲经济。