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2022~2023年中地中海非常规移民问题分析

文章摘要

2022~2023年意大利接纳了约17万乌克兰难民,同时又有超过10万非常规移民经中地中海线抵达意大利,使得意大利南方沿海地区遭受严峻考验。本报告对中地中海线三条支线上主要移民来源国和登船国的政治、经济、社会变化进行分析,详解主要移民群体的构成、动机和行动路线,以便对中地中海线非常规移民数量的显著增长进行解释。研究发现,俄乌冲突给众多国家造成负面影响,促使三大支线移民数量普遍增长。其中一半以上的抵意移民来自利比亚:一方面,的黎波里塔尼亚地区持续动荡,生计日渐艰难的当地外国人被迫逃离;另一方面,埃及民众不堪经济危机之苦,越境进入昔兰尼加,而后乘船北上。突尼斯政局令人担忧,经济低迷,失业人口众多,日益增长的贫困国民和外籍务工人员借助地理之便,抵达意大利。由于希腊和土耳其严控边境,数量可观的亚洲移民放弃东地中海传统路线,促成了土耳其支线的“繁荣”。

Abstract

In 2022-2023,Italy witnessed over 100 thousand irregular migrants arriving through Central Mediterranean Route,while receiving around 170 thousand refugees fleeing from Ukraine. Hence,the coastal regions in southern Italy underwent severe challenges. This essay aims to provide an explanation to the significant rise of the number of migrants reaching Italian shores,by analyzing political,economic and social changes in the most important origin countries and boarding countries along three main sub-routes,and deciphering the composition of major migrant flows,their motivations and movements. This survey indicates that negative impacts brought about to various countries by Russian-Ukraine Conflict contributed to the expansion of migrant flows through all three main sub-routes. Firstly,foreigners fleeing Tripolitania driven by everlasting instability and deteriorating life conditions,along with Egyptians suffering from economic crisis and escaping in Cyrenaica,made Libya the embarkation country for slightly over half of all sea arrivals. Secondly,an increasing number of poor Tunisians and foreign workers departed from Tunisia,a country characterized by worrying political situation,economic downturn and high unemployment,and landed afterwards on Italian coasts,taking advantage of geographic proximity. Lastly,Turkish Sub-Route flourished,because a consistent number of Asian migrants,had abandoned traditional routes in Eastern Mediterranean in response to the strict border controls conducted by Greece and Turkey.

作者简介
臧宇:臧宇,博士,广东外语外贸大学西方语言文化学院副教授、国际移民研究中心研究员,中国人类学民族学研究会国际移民研究专业委员会理事,主要研究方向为地中海移民治理、当代中意关系。
李沛瑾:李沛瑾,广东外语外贸大学广东国际战略研究院2021级欧洲学专业硕士研究生。