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阿富汗塔利班反恐政策对上海合作组织的影响(2024)

文章摘要

长期以来,阿富汗局势一直对上合组织产生多重影响。在阿富汗塔利班再次执政之初,阿富汗境内的恐怖主义活动不降反增,而且呈现向外扩张的趋势。面对来自国内外的巨大压力,阿塔采取了打击、限制和利用等多种反恐举措,在一定程度上改善了阿富汗国内的安全局势。但阿塔反恐行动也导致恐怖主义加速向外渗透,间接导致地区安全局势恶化。阿富汗的邻国基本都是上海合作组织成员国,所以上海合作组织直面阿富汗安全风险外溢的威胁。根据目前的情况来看,上海合作组织各成员国在定位阿富汗安全威胁、合作打击恐怖主义、处理与阿塔关系等问题上还存在分歧。

Abstract

For a long time,the situation in Afghanistan has had multiple impacts on the Shanghai Cooperation Organization(SCO). At the beginning of the Taliban’s return to power in Afghanistan,terrorist activities increased rather than decreased,and showed a trend of outward expansion. Faced with enormous domestic and international pressure,the Afghan Taliban has taken various anti-terrorism measures such as restrictions,crackdowns,and enablement,which have improved the security situation in Afghanistan to some extent. However,its anti-terrorism operation has also led to the accelerated outward expansion of terrorism,which indirectly deteriorates the regional security situation. Afghanistan’s neighboring countries are mostly members of the SCO,therefore the organization is facing security threats from Afghanistan. Currently,there are still differences among the SCO members in identifying security threats to Afghanistan,cooperating in combating terrorism,and measures to handle relations with Afghanistan.

作者简介
朱永彪:朱永彪,兰州大学阿富汗研究中心、“一带一路”研究中心教授,政治与国际关系学院院长。
胡宁:胡宁,兰州大学阿富汗研究中心科研助理。