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2022年亚美尼亚发展报告

文章摘要

2022年,亚国内政局基本稳定。总统选举顺利举行,执政方推举的候选人成功当选。帕什尼扬政府通过推进行政、司法、军事等领域改革巩固政权。反对派利用纳卡问题组织了数月的游行示威活动,但未能撼动执政党地位。在经济领域,受俄罗斯资金和人员流入等因素刺激,亚经济增长创十五年来新高。但由于面临通货膨胀加剧、农业发展水平低、地缘经济环境恶劣等挑战,经济发展前景存在不确定性。安全领域,亚阿双方在纳卡及两国边界地区持续交火,并围绕“赞格祖尔走廊”问题展开激烈角逐。在对外合作方面,亚在与俄保持密切合作的同时积极与西方加强关系;与阿、土关系正常化进程均有所推进;与伊朗和格鲁吉亚关系也在稳步推进。三十年来中国与亚美尼亚的合作取得可观进展,未来双方在“数字丝绸之路”建设合作方面大有潜力。

Abstract

In 2022,the domestic political situation of the Armenia remained basically stable. The presidential election was held smoothly,and the candidate elected by the ruling authorities were successfully elected. The Pachynyan government consolidates its power by promoting reforms in administrative,judicial,military,and other fields. The opposition used the Nagorno-Karabakh Issue to organize months of protests and demonstrations,but failed to shake the ruling party’s position. In the economic field,stimulated by factors such as Russian capital and personnel inflows,Armenian economy has reached a new high since the past 15 years. However,due to challenges such as intensified inflation,low levels of agricultural development,and a harsh geopolitical environment,there is uncertainty in the prospects of economic development. In the field of security,Armenia and Azerbaijan continue to exchange fire in Nagorno-Karabakh and the border areas of the two countries,and engage in fierce competition around the Zangzur Corridor issue. In terms of foreign cooperation,Armenia actively strengthens relations with the West while maintaining close cooperation with Russia;the normalization process of relations with Azerbaijan and Turkmenistan has been promoted;and the relations with Iran and Georgia are also steadily advancing. Significant progress has been made in 30 years of cooperation between China and Armennia,and there is great potential for future cooperation in the construction of the Digital Silk Road between the two sides.

作者简介
李莹莹:李莹莹,中国国际问题研究院欧亚研究所助理研究员。