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新冠疫情下伊朗外交面临的机遇与挑战(2020年)

  • 作者:刘亚萍 蒋真出版日期:2024年07月
  • 报告页数:19 页
  • 报告字数:23178 字所属丛书:
  • 所属图书:伊朗发展报告(2019~2020)
  • 浏览人数:0    下载次数:0

文章摘要

2020年,新冠疫情席卷伊朗,对伊朗社会造成巨大冲击。这场疫情使伊朗的外部环境发生了变化,迫使伊朗前政府和新政府在对外政策上做出调整。在制裁、低油价和抗疫的三重压力下,伊朗外交承载着巨大的压力,尤其是伊核问题“难产”和以色列的反伊态度。但挑战背后也存在机遇,拜登政府的印太战略不仅为伊核问题的解决提供了窗口,也为伊朗强化在阿富汗的力量提供了条件。疫情下中伊两国友好互助,增进了双方的关系,25年全面合作协议的签订巩固了两国间的全面战略合作关系。国际社会对全球合作理念的认同更是为解除对伊朗的制裁提供契机。疫情下,如何加强危机管理和营造良好的外交关系、缓解制裁是莱希政府要直面解决的问题。换言之,如何转“危”为“机”是伊朗外交部门需要深思的问题。

Abstract

The COVID-19 global pandemic swept through Iran,causing a major impact on Iranian society,Iran’s epidemic prevention situation continues to deteriorate. The outbreak has hit Iran’s international and regional environment,forcing the previous and new governments to adjust their foreign policy. Under the triple pressure of sanctions,low oil prices and anti-epidemic,Iranian diplomacy is under great pressure,especially the Iranian nuclear issue and Israel’s active anti-Iranian attitude. But there are opportunities behind the challenge. The Biden administration’s Indo-Pacific strategy not only provides a “window” for the Iranian nuclear issue,but also provides a chance for Iran to strengthen its presence in Afghanistan. The friendly and mutual assistance between China and Iraq has enhanced bilateral relations after the outbreak,and the signing of the 25-year cooperation agreement has consolidated the comprehensive strategic cooperative relationship between the two countries. The international community’s recognition of the concept of global cooperation provides an opportunity for Iran to lift sanctions. Under the epidemic,how to strengthen crisis management and create good diplomatic relations and ease sanctions are problems that Raisi’s government should face up to. In other words,how to turn “dangerous” into “opportunities” is a question that Iran’s diplomatic service needs to ponder.

作者简介
刘亚萍:刘亚萍,西北大学中东研究所博士研究生。
蒋真:蒋真,西北大学中东研究所教授,博士生导师。