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数字时代全球城市分级(2023)——基于集聚度与联系度的视角

文章摘要

城市分级是一个重大的现实问题和理论问题,特别在数字时代,城市的功能和形态正在发生转折性的变化,这种变化正在引起城市形态以及全球城市体系内部功能结构的重塑。基于替代弹性理论,本研究认为某一城市在全球城市体系中的地位由该城市的替代弹性决定,而城市的替代弹性,由城市的集聚度与联系度共同决定。随后,本研究构建了度量城市集聚度和联系度的指标体系,并进行了全球城市分级和类型划分。根据本研究,全球城市体系是一个多层嵌套结构,1006个样本城市可分为3层、2类、5等、10级。从类型来看,共存在高集聚高联系、高集聚中联系、高集聚低联系、中集聚中联系、中集聚低联系以及低集聚低联系六类城市。研究发现,集聚与联系是正相关的,且集聚是联系的前提。欧洲拥有相当多数量的高集聚高联系类型和中集聚中联系类型城市,是引领和支撑其未来发展的重要力量。非洲拥有大量低集聚低联系类型的城市,整体发展阶段较为滞后。亚洲城市内部分化严重,既有突出的成就,也有显著的问题和巨大潜力。高集聚低联系类型的城市仅有大阪一个,其经验和教训值得全球其他城市参考和借鉴。

Abstract

The urban classification is a major practical and theoretical issue,especially in the digital era,when the functions and forms of cities are undergoing a turning point,which is causing a reshaping of the urban form and the functional structure within the global urban system. Based on the theory of substitution elasticity,this paper argues that the status of a city in the global urban system is determined by the substitution elasticity of the city,and the substitution elasticity of the city is determined by the degree of agglomeration and the degree of connectedness of the city together. Subsequently,this paper constructs a system of indicators to measure the degree of agglomeration and connectedness of cities,and carries out the classification and type of global cities. According to the research of this paper,the global city system is a multi-layer nested structure,and the 1006 sample cities can be divided into 3 layers,2 types,5 classes and 10 levels. In terms of types,there are six categories of cities:high agglomeration and high connectedness,high agglomeration and medium connectedness,high agglomeration and low connectedness,medium agglomeration and medium connectedness,and low agglomeration and low connectedness. It is found that agglomeration and connectedness are positively correlated and that agglomeration is a prerequisite for connectedness. Europe has a significant number of cities in the high agglomeration-high linkage and medium agglomeration-medium linkage categories,which are important for leading and supporting its future development. Africa has a large number of low agglomeration and low linkage cities and is lagging behind in its overall stage of development. Asian cities are highly differentiated,with outstanding achievements,significant problems and great potential. Osaka is the only city with high agglomeration and low connectivity,and its experience and lessons learnt should be taken into account by other cities around the world.

作者简介
倪鹏飞:倪鹏飞,博士,中国社会科学院财经战略研究院研究员,研究方向为城市与房地产发展经济学。
曹清峰:曹清峰,博士,中国社会科学院财经战略研究院博士后,研究方向为城市与房地产经济学。
郭靖:郭靖,博士,深圳大学政府管理学院助理教授,研究方向为城市与区域经济、城市治理、城市可持续发展。
徐海东:徐海东,博士,中国社会科学院财经战略研究院助理研究员,研究方向为城市与房地产发展经济学。