缅甸军方接管政权已进入第三个年头,各方矛盾和博弈向纵深发展。亲民盟的“民族团结政府”和各类“人民防卫军”发起的武装斗争让缅甸军方穷于应付。在缅甸军方的压力和影响下,部分少数民族地方武装与缅甸军方达成妥协,也有部分少数民族地方武装与“人民防卫军”合作对抗缅甸军方。缅甸军方声称要举行的大选一再被推迟。尽管遭到欧美国家的持续制裁、联合国的批评和东盟的抵制,但缅甸军方交好近邻、发展与俄罗斯关系等外交举措在一定程度上缓解了外交压力。缅甸局势的动荡也让其经济增长面临持续的压力。
The Junta takeover of Myanmar has entered the third year,and the contradictions and games of all parties are developing in depth. Armed struggle by the pro-NLD “Government of National Unity” and various “People’s Defence Forces” has left the Burmese Junta stretched on both sides. Under the pressure and influence of the Myanmar military,some Ethnic Armed Organizations reached a compromise with the Myanmar military,and some Ethnic Armed Organizations cooperated with the “People’s Defence Forces” against the Myanmar military. Elections that the Junta says it wants to hold have been repeatedly postponed. Despite continued sanctions from the United States and Europe,criticism from the United Nations and resistance from the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN),diplomatic moves by Myanmar’s military to cultivate close neighbors and develop ties with Russia have eased diplomatic pressure to some extent. The unrest in Myanmar is also putting continued pressure on its economic growth.
Keywords: | Myanmar SituationNational Management Committee“People’s Defence Forces”Ethnic Armed Organizations |