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2022年印度中亚政策的进展与局限

文章摘要

印度与中亚五国举行领导人线上峰会后,各方构建了多领域对话机制并进一步深化合作。随着阿富汗变局和俄乌冲突爆发,主要大国愈加关注中亚地区,印度为了平衡中国影响力并体现其大国角色也加快推进中亚外交,但是中亚地区风险、大国博弈态势、印度周边环境及其外交优先事项等因素又限制了印度在中亚进一步发挥影响力。印度的参与增强了中亚国家外交的灵活性,使该地区一体化进程更加具有不确定性,并可能弱化既有区域合作组织的部分功能。中国需要投入更多精力开展中亚外交,与中亚各国携手构建中国-中亚命运共同体。

Abstract

Following the virtual summit between the leaders of India and five Central Asian countries,the parties have established a multi-field dialogue mechanism and further deepened cooperation. With the changes in Afghanistan and the outbreak of the Ukraine crisis,major powers have paid more attention to Central Asia. In order to balance China’s influence and reflect its role as a major power,India has also accelerated its diplomacy in Central Asia. However,factors such as risks in Central Asia,the situation of great power game,India’s surrounding environment and its diplomatic priorities have limited India’s further influence in Central Asia. India’s involvement in Central Asia will have a negative impact on China’s Silk Road and western security,and may weaken some of the functions of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization. China needs to devote more energy to Central Asian diplomacy and work together with Central Asian countries to build a community with a shared future between China and Central Asia.

作者简介
李家胜:李家胜,西安交通大学马克思主义学院副教授、亚欧研究中心研究员。