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2022~2023年多米尼加发展报告:大选人选初定,经济稳定发展

文章摘要

多米尼加在2022年保持良好的经济增长态势,经济增长率显著高于地区平均水平,但美元加息周期和石油价格波动是影响该国长期经济发展的重要不利因素。政治上,现任政府继续将反腐作为执政重点,国内政局亦维持稳定。为应对2024年总统大选,主要反对党已经推出候选人。民生领域,失业率回落至疫情前水平。在外交领域,美国因劳工权益问题对多米尼加最大食糖出口商发布禁令,而多米尼加针对海地移民的强硬遣返措施引发海地乃至国际社会的谴责。

Abstract

Dominican Republic continues to experience promising economic growth in 2022,with economic growth rates significantly above the regional average. Nevertheless,the U.S. dollar interest rate hike cycle and oil price volatility are important headwinds for the country’s long-term economic development. Politically,the running Government continued to focus on its anti-corruption and the domestic political situation remained stable. The main opposition party has decided on a candidate for the 2024 presidential election. On the social front,the unemployment rate has fallen back to pre-pandemic level. The United Stated issued a ban on the Dominican Republic’s largest sugar exporter over labor rights issues,while tough deportation measures for Haitian immigrants sparked condemnation from Haiti and the international community.

作者简介
史沛然:史沛然,经济学博士,中国社会科学院拉丁美洲研究所助理研究员,主要研究方向为计量经济学。