2022年哥斯达黎加大选结果出炉,罗德里戈·查韦斯当选总统,社会民主进步党成为执政党。政治上,行政和立法机关博弈加剧,民粹主义是总统绕过立法大会推行政策的重要工具,政治碎片化依旧。经济上,旅游业收益减少使2022年经济缓慢下降,通货膨胀率略微下降,旅游业成经济增长新引擎;利率上升和全球供应链瓶颈促使政府突破外币债务上限,这导致债务违约风险变大。社会方面,失业率和犯罪率上升,跨国贩毒组织渗透威胁哥斯达黎加政治结构和经济生活。对外关系方面,哥斯达黎加积极加入双多边贸易协定,以提高自身贸易多元化水平,以民主发展联盟为依托深化与美国在可持续经济、贸易、移民、打击犯罪和腐败上的合作。
The results of the 2022 Costa Rica elections are out,Rodrigo Chavez is elected president,and the Social Democratic Progressive Party becomes the ruling party. Politically,the game between the executive and the legislature has intensified. Populism is an important tool for the president to bypass the legislative assembly to implement policies,and political fragmentation remains. Economically,the dissipation of tourism income will cause the economy to decline slowly in 2022,and the inflation rate will drop slightly. The tourism industry will become a new engine of economic growth;interest rates will rise and the global supply chain will be bottlenecked. The government will break through the foreign currency debt ceiling and increase the risk of debt default. In terms of society,the unemployment rate and crime rate are rising,and the penetration of transnational drug trafficking organizations is accelerating. In terms of external relations,Costa Rica actively participates in multilateral trade agreements to enhance the level of trade diversification,and relies on the Democratic Development Alliance to deepen cooperation with the United States in sustainable economy,trade,immigration,and fighting crime and corruption.