2022年拉美和加勒比地区经济“高开低走”，上半年的经济增长属于疫后反弹效应的延续，下半年反弹效应耗尽，致使经济增速大幅度降低，地区GDP增长率约为3.7%。受宏观失衡、全球经济下行等内外因素的影响，若无重大政策调整或重大生产力突破，拉美和加勒比地区经济将趋于“低增长常态”。2023年该地区经济增速显著放缓，绝大部国家的宏观失衡有所加剧，在政府赤字、贸易逆差、外部融资等领域面临严峻挑战。增加出口、吸引外资、多元化融资将是拉美和加勒比各国遏制经济衰退、恢复经济增长的重要手段。
The economy of Latin America and the Caribbean observed the “higher growth in the first half and the lower growth in the second half” of 2022. The economic growth in the first half of the year is still the continuation of the post-epidemic rebound effect. The slowdown in the second half of the year means that the rebound effect had been exhausted，resulting in a significant reduction in economic growth，and the regional GDP growth rate would be 3.7%. Due to domestic and global factors such as macro imbalance and global economic downturn，while no major policy reforms or major productivity breakthroughs would be happening，the regional economy is tending to become the “Normality of Low Growth”. In 2023，the region’s economic growth would be slowing down obviously. The macro imbalances in most countries have intensified，and they face severe challenges in the areas of government deficit，trade deficit and external financing. Increasing exports，attracting FDI and diversifying resources of external financing will be important measures for Latin American and Caribbean countries to resist economic recession and restore economic growth.
