俄乌冲突对日本经济和社会形成多层面冲击。经济层面,加快日本经济安全战略和政策落地进程,促使日本企业在俄产业和投资链条加速“出清”,凸显日本能源资源结构性风险。社会层面,这对二战后习惯和平国际环境的日本民众造成巨大的心理冲击;民众危机感上升,促使对日本安全保障问题的关注度提升;能源危机影响了日本人的日常生活;这冲击了日本人的生死观,引发了日本社会对死亡方式的思考。俄乌冲突的长期化,对日本经济的直接影响的边际效应会递减,但滞后效应不容忽视;对日本社会的间接影响或会持续深化,接收乌克兰难民等可能会对日本产生直接冲击,也会导致社会问题相继出现。
The conflict between Russia and Ukraine has multifaceted impacted Japan’s economy and society. Economically,the implementation of Japan’s economic security strategies and policies will be accelerated,including the clearance of Japanese enterprises’ industries and investment chains in Russia and the structural risks of Japan’s energy resources. At the social level,it had a huge psychological impact on the Japanese people,who were accustomed to a peaceful international environment after WWII. The public’s sense of crisis has risen,prompting a heated discussion of Japan’s security. The energy crisis has affected Japanese daily life;It has impacted the Japanese view of life and death and triggered the Japanese society to think about the way of death. In the medium and long term,the direct impact of the Russia-Ukraine conflict on Japan’s economy may decline marginally,but the lag effect cannot be ignored. The indirect impact on Japanese society may continue to deepen,and social problems that may have a direct impact on Japan,such as receiving Ukrainian refugees,will also emerge one after another.