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2022年日本政治:岸田内阁执政“一年考”

文章摘要

至2022年12月底,岸田文雄内阁上台执政已近一年零三个月。其在继2021年10月领导自民党赢得众议院绝对稳定过半数议席之后,又在2022年7月赢得参议院改选议席的过半数议席。从众参两院国会选举结果来看,岸田内阁堪称以高分通过两次国会选举“大考”,有望成为长期政权。从处理内政外交问题等的执政能力来看,岸田内阁上半年在处理俄乌冲突等外交热点问题上得分高,下半年在应对内政问题,尤其是在处理引发舆论高度关注的前首相安倍晋三遇刺身亡引发的系列问题,以及阁僚丑闻等问题的过程中得分偏低,导致其执政态势总体呈现一种不稳定状态。岸田执政一年多来,在“三大能力考试”即“选举能力”“外交能力”“内政能力”考试中,“选举卷”合格,“外交卷”合格,“内政卷”不合格。

Abstract

By the end of December 2022,the Fumio Kishida cabinet had been in power for nearly one year and three months. After leading the Liberal Democratic Party to win an absolutely stable majority of seats in October 2021,it won a majority of the Senate’s re-election seats in July 2022. Judging from the results of the congressional elections of the House of Representatives and the House of Representatives,the Kishida cabinet has passed the two major congressional election exams with high scores to help with long-term governance issues. From the study of domestic affairs,diplomacy,and other governance capabilities,it scored high in dealing with hot issues,such as the conflict between Russia and Ukraine,and scored low in dealing with domestic affairs,especially the series of issues caused by the assassination and death of Shinzo Abe and the cabinet scandal. As a result,its ruling situation generally presents an unstable state. Since Kishida has been in power for more than a year,in the three major ability tests Kishida faces,namely “election ability”,“diplomatic ability” and “internal affairs ability” exams,he has passed the election and diplomatic,and failed the internal affairs.

作者简介
张伯玉:张伯玉,法学博士,中国社会科学院日本研究所政治研究室主任、研究员,日本政治研究中心副主任,主要研究方向为日本政治。
張伯玉: