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2022年新西兰内政外交回顾与展望

文章摘要

2022年,新西兰的国内政治和外交政策受到疫情、俄乌冲突和中美博弈的影响。新西兰开放国境并改变新冠疫情防控政策后,国内严重的通货膨胀和攀升的犯罪率问题成为主要的内政焦点。国内民众对工党政府的信心持续下降,反对党国家党的支持率反超工党。在外交方面,新西兰在强调传统的国际合作原则和太平洋国家身份认同原则的同时,重提价值观原则,预测将在人权问题上更多发声。同时,新西兰在经济问题上强调经济关系的稳定性和市场的多样化,在安全问题上虽然更加偏向传统安全伙伴,但是仍然追求安全和经济关系的平衡。总体上,新西兰外交政策更加受到稳定经济和提高政府支持率的国内政治目标的驱动。

Abstract

In 2022,New Zealand’s domestic politics and foreign policy were influenced by Russia-Ukraine conflict and the rivalry between the United States and China. After New Zealand opened its borders and changed its COVID-19 policy,the serious inflation and rising crime rate in the country became the main domestic focus. People’s confidence in the Labour government continued to decline,and the opposition National Party’s support rate surpassed that of the Labour Party. In terms of diplomacy,while emphasizing the traditional multilateral cooperation and Pacific Island countries principles,New Zealand revisited the value-based principle. New Zealand would possibly speak out more on human rights issues in near future. Meanwhile,New Zealand emphasised the stability of economic relations and the diversification of markets. Although New Zealand was more inclined to agree with traditional security partners on security issues,it still strived to achieve a balance between security relations and economic relations. In general,New Zealand’s foreign policy is more driven by the need to stabilise the economy and increase government support from its domestic politics.

作者简介
张梦迪:张梦迪,新西兰惠灵顿维多利亚大学博士研究生,厦门大学新西兰研究中心兼职研究员,研究方向为经济与安全联系、中国与新西兰及太平洋岛国外交问题。