发展数字经济和扩大数字贸易是中国抢占数字产业制高点、构建“双循环”新发展格局的内在要求。明确中国在国际竞争格局中的位置,特别是厘清中国相对于美国和欧盟的优势与劣势,对于研判中国数字经济的发展趋势至关重要。本文在梳理数字经济与数字贸易的概念内涵及测算方法的基础上,通过对国内外权威数据进行多重比较分析,从规模格局、结构格局、动态格局、竞争格局以及依赖格局方面进行深入分析发现,中国的数字经济与数字贸易处于“大而不优、快而不先、盈而不赢”的状态。据此,本文提出全面优化数字经济结构、强化竞争优势和调整产业结构、在信息服务业培育新优势、在数字媒体业扭转劣势等对策建议。
The development of digital economy and expansion of digital trade has become an inherent requirement for China to seize the high ground of digital industry revolution,and build a new development pattern in which the domestic circulation is the mainstay and the domestic and international double circulation promote each other. Clarifying China’s position,especially its advantages and disadvantages relative to the USA and the EU in the international competition of digital economy and trade,is crucial to judge and guide the future development of China’s digital economy in both domestic and international double circulation. At present,there are various methods to define and measure the digital economy and digital trade,but there is a lack of connection and comparison between different methods as well as between different countries from a global perspective. Based on the solid statistical measurements and comparative analysis of relevant data,we make in-depth research on scale pattern,structural pattern,dynamic pattern,competition pattern,dependency pattern,etc. between China,the USA and the EU,and find that China’s digital economy and trade is “big but not excellent,fast but not first,profitable but not win”. Therefore,we propose policy suggestions for the sustainable development of China’s digital economy and trade such as comprehensively optimizing the digital economic structure,promoting strengths and avoiding weaknesses in the electronic equipment manufacturing industry,cultivating new trends in the information service industry,and reversing the disadvantages in the digital media industry.