2021年,新冠疫情仍在持续,亚太经济体增长出现差异和分化,但地区通胀水平保持可控,出口也出现强劲反弹。亚太地区政治形势总体稳定,个别经济体发生政局动荡。亚太主要经济体持续调整各自安全战略,地区安全正处于转折性的“十字路口”。受新冠疫情、中美战略博弈等因素影响,亚太地区供应链出现断裂压力,各经济体意识形态分歧增加,地区传统安全与非传统安全挑战进一步上升,区域经济合作的深度和广度则有所拓展。展望2022年,亚太经济有望在曲折中复苏,部分国家存在社会矛盾、政局动荡等叠加风险,地区安全不确定性增加,地区合作的路径竞争色彩更为凸显。
In 2021,the COVID-19 pandemic is still continuing,and the growth of Asia-Pacific economies has diverged and differentiated,but regional inflation has remained under control and exports have also rebounded strongly. The political situation in the Asia-Pacific region is generally stable,with some countries experiencing political turbulence. Major countries in the Asia-Pacific continue to adjust their security strategies,and regional security is at a turning crossroads. Affected by the COVID-19 pandemic and the strategic game between China and the United States,the regional supply chain in the Asia-Pacific is under fracturing pressure,ideological differences among Asia-Pacific countries are increasing,traditional and non-traditional security challenges in the region are on the rise,and economic cooperation in the Asia-Pacific is greatly enhanced in depth and breadth. Looking ahead to 2022,the Asia-Pacific economy will continue to recover amid twists and turns,there are overlapping risks of social tensions and political risks in some Asia-Pacific countries,regional security uncertainties are increasing,and the path of regional cooperation is more competitive.