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热词推荐: 能源基础设施

全球应对气候变化:形势与前景(2022~2023)

文章摘要

2022年以来,全球极端天气日趋频繁,人为引起的气候变化所导致的极端气候事件已经成为常态。极端气候事件造成的影响在世界各地的分布并不均衡。2022年全球能源格局经历了较大波动。乌克兰危机引发了第一次全球性能源危机,这导致化石燃料价格飙升,能源燃烧的二氧化碳排放量增加了4.23亿吨。该年全球与能源相关的二氧化碳排放量达到新高,但增幅低于预期水平,这主要得益于可再生能源和电动汽车的强劲扩张。自新冠疫情暴发以来,各国政府在清洁能源转型方面的支出上升至1.2万亿美元。预计2023年全球能源投资总额将达到2.8万亿美元,其中超过1.7万亿美元将流向清洁能源,但投资在发达国家与发展中国家之间分配不均。2022年,全球应对气候变化的行动主要呈现两个特点:一方面,国际气候合作取得新进展,COP27在成立损失与损害基金方面取得突破性成果;另一方面,随着部分主要经济体在气候领域行动的单边主义倾向日益显现,全球气候治理的政治色彩不断强化。《巴黎协定》首次全球盘点督促各国走上实现1.5℃温控目标的正轨。应对气候变化的未来仍取决于各国之间的合作。

Abstract

Since 2022,extreme weather has become more frequent worldwide,and extreme weather events boosted by human-induced climate change have become “the new normal”. The impacts of extreme weather events are unevenly distributed across the world. 2022 has seen significant volatility in the global energy landscape. The Ukraine crisis triggered the first global energy crisis,which caused fossil fuel prices to soar and emissions from energy combustion to increase by 423 million tons. Global energy-related carbon dioxide emissions reached a new high during the year but increased at a lower-than-expected level due to the strong expansion in renewable energy and electric vehicles. Global government spending on clean energy transitions has risen to USD 1.2 trillion since the start of the pandemic. Global energy investment is expected to be USD 2.8 trillion in 2023,of which more than USD 1.7 trillion is going to clean energy,but investment is unevenly distributed between developed and developing countries. In 2022,the global response to climate change action is characterized by two main features:on the one hand,international climate cooperation has made new progress,and COP27 has achieved a breakthrough in the establishment of the “Loss and Damage” Fund;on the other hand,with the increasing unilateralism of some major economies in climate action,the political characteristics of global climate governance has been strengthened. The first global stocktake of the Paris Agreement urges countries to get on track to attain the 1.5℃ target. The future of the fight against climate change continues to depend on the cooperation among countries.

作者简介
江思羽:江思羽,法学博士,中国社会科学院世界经济与政治研究所助理研究员,主要研究领域为国际能源与气候政治。