2020年，受新冠肺炎疫情影响，巴西经济大幅萎缩，国内生产总值出现近4%的负增长，为近十年最低谷。2021年，随着新冠肺炎疫情防控举措逐渐放松、疫苗接种率不断提高和外部环境相对有利，在消费、投资和出口“三驾马车”的共同拉动下，巴西经济出现了强劲的复苏态势，各项基本经济指数得到了不同程度的改善，国内生产总值增长率达到4.6%，成为近十年巴西经济最高增速。然而，2021年底，新冠病毒奥密克戎新变异毒株突然出现并快速蔓延，全球产业链、供应链继续“中断”，国际商品价格暴涨导致通胀压力持续升高，加上2022年巴西进入“10月选举季”，巴西经济增长的不确定性和不稳定性风险上升，经济前景不容乐观，经济复苏之路将是“道阻且长”。
In 2020，influenced by COVID-19，Brazil’s economy has shrunk dramatically，and GDP has seen a negative growth of nearly 4%，the lowest in nearly ten years. In 2021，with the gradual relaxation of COVID-19’s prevention and control measures，the continuous increase of vaccination rate and the relative favorable external environment，Brazil’s economy had a strong recovery trend under the combined driving force of consumption，investment and export. The basic economic indicators improved to varying degrees，and the GDP growth rate reached 4.6%，becoming the highest economic growth rate in Brazil in the past ten years. However，by the end of 2021，the new variant of COVID-19’s new drug had become abrupt and spread rapidly. The global industrial chain and supply chain continued to “break down”. The inflationary pressures of international commodity prices continued to rise，and in 2022，Brazil entered the “October election season”. The uncertainty and instability risk of Brazil’s economic growth increased，and the economic outlook was not optimistic. The road to economic recovery will be blocked and long.
