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2022年中国与周边国家经贸关系发展评估与展望

文章摘要

2022年中国与周边国家经贸关系发展势头良好。贸易方面,中国与周边国家贸易总额呈增长态势。投资方面,中国与周边国家开展积极投资合作,尤其是RCEP生效之后大幅推动中国与东盟和日韩的投资合作。尽管中国与周边国家经贸关系面临地缘政治和经贸格局演变以及宏观经济政策逆转等风险,但未来中国与周边国家合作前景可期。RCEP将继续赋能中国与东盟、日韩以及大洋洲经贸关系。中日韩合作有望取得实质性进展。中国与俄罗斯将继续拓展在科技、能源、农业、市场等领域的合作空间。中国与中亚5国合作将取得新进展。中国与中东国家合作也将更加多元化。

Abstract

In 2022,the economic and trade relations between China and neighboring countries had a good momentum of development. In terms of trade,China’s import and export to neighboring countries have maintained a growth momentum. In terms of investment,China has carried out active investment cooperation with neighboring countries,especially after the RCEP came into effect,which has greatly promoted investment cooperation between China and ASEAN,Japan,and South Korea. Although China’s economic and trade relations with neighboring countries face risks such as geopolitics,the evolution of the economic and trade pattern,and the reversal of macroeconomic policies,the prospects for cooperation between China and neighboring countries in the next year are still optimistic. RCEP will continue to empower China,ASEAN,Japan,Republic of Korea,and Oceania economic and trade ties. The cooperation between China,Japan and Republic of Korea is expected to make substantial progress. China and Russia will also continue to expand the space for cooperation in technology,energy,agriculture,and markets. New Progress will be made in cooperation between China and the five Central Asian countries. The cooperation between China and Middle East countries will also be more diversified.

作者简介
石先进:石先进,中国社会科学院世界经济与政治研究所助理研究员,研究方向为开放宏观经济与国际贸易。
苏庆义:苏庆义,中国社会科学院世界经济与政治研究所研究员,研究方向为国际贸易理论与政策。
邹治波:邹治波,中国社会科学院世界经济与政治研究所副所长、研究员,研究方向为国际政治、国际安全战略、军控与防扩散。