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欧洲艰难应对“时代转折”:2022~2023年欧洲形势与展望

文章摘要

2022年乌克兰危机升级让欧洲成为全球关注的焦点。欧洲很多国家将2022年称为“历史分水岭”,德国总理朔尔茨在德国联邦议会表示世界面临“时代转折”。随着俄乌冲突的爆发,欧洲安全格局、经济发展、政治生态和对外关系均发生重大调整。2023年,受乌克兰危机的持续影响,欧洲各国一方面艰难应对各方面挑战、着力稳定国内政治经济局势;另一方面,亲美、援乌、反俄将继续成为多数欧洲国家的外交主基调。在欧洲和世界大变局加速演进下,中欧关系仍然面临考验,但总体上将保持止跌回稳态势,双方经贸合作有望继续稳步增长。

Abstract

The escalation of the Ukrainian crisis in 2022 has put Europe under the global spotlight. Many European countries call 2022 a “historic watershed”,and German Chancellor Olaf Scholz addressed the German Bundestag that the world was experiencing Zeitenwende. With the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict,Europe’s security landscape,economic development,political ecology,and external relations have undergone dramatic adjustments. In 2023,due to the long-lasting impact of the Ukrainian crisis,European countries will struggle to cope with various challenges and endeavor to stabilize the political and economic situation at home. Meanwhile,pro-United States,aiding Ukraine,and anti-Russia will continue to be the mainstream of most European countries’ foreign policies. In the context of great changes in Europe and the world,the China-European Union relationship is facing challenges. However,their overall relationship will stabilize from falling,and economic and trade cooperation between the two sides is expected to continue to grow steadily.

作者简介
冯仲平:冯仲平,中国社会科学院欧洲研究所所长、研究员、博士生导师,主要研究领域为欧洲战略问题、欧洲一体化、中欧关系、欧美关系。
贺之杲:贺之杲,中国社会科学院欧洲研究所副研究员,主要研究领域为欧洲政治与国际关系、欧洲一体化与比较地区主义。
张超:张超,中国社会科学院欧洲研究所助理研究员,主要研究领域为欧盟发展合作政策、中国对外援助、三方发展合作等。