后穆巴拉克时代埃及政治转型经历了由军方主导的临时政府时期、伊斯兰民主的穆尔西时期以及强人复归的塞西时期三个阶段。权力的迅速更迭呈现了后穆巴拉克时代埃及政治转型复杂多变的特点,一是政治力量多元化发展,民主政治体制构建进程取得进展;二是曲折性、复杂性和不确定性并存,政治转型陷入制度性困境;三是军方主导政治重建进程,埃及重回强人政治模式。在反思埃及民主进程之路过程中,深刻把握威权与民主、民生与民主、改革与革命、军人与政治的关系有助于理解埃及政治转型的本质;在探索埃及发展之路过程中,正确处理回归宗教与坚持世俗、正确认识民族和解与政治包容、正确对待民族独立与社会发展,并始终坚定独立自主与道路自信有助于在交往自觉中创造新的文明,以自我变革的活力,走出一条符合自身特点、适应本国国情的可持续性发展之路。
The political transformation of Egypt in the post-Mubarak era has experienced three stages:the interim government led by the military,the morsi period of Islamic democracy and the Sisi period of the return of strong men. The rapid change of power presents the complex and changeable characteristics of the political transformation of Egypt in the post-Mubarak era. First,the diversified development of political forces and the progress in the construction of democratic political system;Second,tortuosity,complexity and uncertainty coexist,and the political transformation falls into an institutional dilemma;Third,the military led the political reconstruction process,and Egypt returned to the strongman political model. In the process of rethinking the road of Egypt’s democratic process,a deep grasp of the relationship between authoritarianism and democracy,people’s livelihood and democracy,reform and revolution,soldiers and politics will help to understand the essence of Egypt’s political transformation;In the process of exploring Egypt’s development path,correctly dealing with returning to religion and adhering to secularity,correctly understanding national reconciliation and political inclusion,correctly treating national independence and social development,and always firmly adhering to independence and self-confidence will help create new civilization in communication consciousness and walk out of a path in line with its own characteristics with the vitality of self-change Sustainable development road adapted to national conditions.