在全球经济复苏乏力、通胀压力加剧、主要经济体货币政策变化外溢风险上升之际,中国和印度作为亚洲两个最大的发展中国家,要推动中印自贸区早日建成,并成为两国应对纷繁复杂的国际贸易纷争、提升国际贸易竞争力的重要途径。本报告主要采取定性分析和文献分析相结合方法,探讨了中印自贸区建设面临的新机遇和重大挑战,展望了中印自贸区建设的前景。研究结果表明,贸易保护主义抬头、政治关系起伏不定、贸易持续失衡是中印自贸区建设面临的三大挑战。中印自贸区要早日建成,要秉持贸易自由化理念、推动中印关系行稳致远、转变发展方式和改善贸易结构、妥善应对印度“去中国化”政策。
At a time when the global economic recovery is weak,inflation pressure is intensifying,and the risk of spillover from monetary policy changes of major economies is rising,China and India,as the two largest developing countries in Asia,should promote the early completion of the China-India Free Trade Area,which will become an important way for the two countries to cope with complicated international trade disputes and enhance international trade competitiveness. This report mainly adopts the method of qualitative analysis and literature analysis,discusses the new opportunities and major challenges faced by the construction of China-India Free Trade Area,and looks forward to the prospect of the construction of China-India Free Trade Area. The findings show that rising trade protectionism,fluctuating political relations and persistent trade imbalances are the three major challenges facing the construction of the China-India Free Trade Area. The China-India Free Trade Area should be completed at an early date,we should uphold the concept of trade liberalization,push for steady and long-term development of China-India relations,change the development model and improve the trade structure,and properly respond to India’s “De-sinification” policy.