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新的动荡变革期构建金砖国家自贸区的新态势与新思路

文章摘要

本报告分析了金砖国家自贸区建设的背景动因,全球经贸合作态势面临重大调整,如多边贸易体系陷入困境导致自贸区成为各国的普遍选择,多重因素加剧产业链、供应链不稳定和回缩趋势,数字经济推动金砖国家经贸合作加快转型等,要求金砖国家为应对贸易体系困境和挑战而增进务实合作。将自贸区建设提上议事日程,可以有效应对金砖国家自贸区建设面临的诸多难题,如金砖国家对经贸关系互补性与竞争性的认知存在很大差异,金砖国家多优先巩固所在地区的自贸区,部分金砖国家面临西方国家发起的经济或技术“脱钩”挑战等。在此基础上,本报告提出了未来金砖国家自贸区建设的基本取向与政策建议。

Abstract

This paper analyzes the background and motivation of the construction of the free trade area in the BRICS countries,such as the global economic and trade cooperation situation facing major adjustment:the multilateral trading system is in trouble,leading to the free trade area becoming the common choice of all countries. Multiple factors are aggravating the instability and contraction of industrial and supply chains. The digital economy is accelerating the transformation of BRICS economic and trade cooperation. This requires BRICS countries to enhance practical cooperation in order to cope with the difficulties and challenges in the trade system and elevate the building of a free trade area to the top of the agenda,as well as many difficulties facing the building of a free trade area of BRICS countries. For example,BRICS countries have very different perceptions of the complementarity and competitiveness of economic and trade relations,and India’s policy towards China is more populist and strategic competitive. The BRICS countries are giving priority to strengthening the building of free trade areas in their own regions. Some BRICS countries are facing difficulties such as economic or technological “decoupling” of Western countries. On this basis,the author puts forward the basic orientation and policy suggestions of building the free trade area in the future.

作者简介
蔡春林:蔡春林,博士,教授,广东工业大学金砖国家研究中心主任,广东金砖国家研究中心主任,广东省习近平新时代中国特色社会主义思想研究中心特约研究员,致公党广东省委经济委副主任,对外经济贸易大学中国WTO研究院博士生导师,研究领域:国际贸易与国际问题。
蔡淇旭:蔡淇旭,广东省新兴经济体研究会助理研究员,研究领域:国际贸易。
黄丹宇:黄丹宇,博士,广东工业大学经济学院讲师,研究领域:旅游管理、文化旅游。